Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Ronaldo (15'), Costinha (45+3')
Samaris (31'), Patrick (66'), Luiz (81'), Vitor (90+5'), Pantalon (90+7')
Oudrhiri (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ronaldo (61' og.)
Carvalho (17'), Aburjania (84'), Carlos (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente have put together a fine run of form since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. However, Rio Ave have won their last two home matches and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. With that said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and hold out for a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Gil Vicente
44.35% ( 0.94)	26.24% ( -0.19)	29.41% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.11% (

0.43)

52.89% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.5% (

0.36)

74.5% (

-0.36)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26% (

0.65)

23.74% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.13% (

0.93)

57.87% (

-0.93)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38% (

-0.33)

32.62% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

-0.37)

69.17% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 44.34%

Gil Vicente 29.41%

Draw 26.23%

Rio Ave	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.34%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.41%