Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26

Apr 1, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Silva (40'), Safira (45+1')

de Brito Gonzaga (6'), Pires (45+1'), Delgado (49'), Marafona (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

With nine games to go before the end of the 2022-23 Primeira Liga campaign, Pacos de Ferreira have little time to salvage their season. While Vitoria de Guimaraes have run out of steam in recent weeks, they have been solid on home turf, where they have won three of their last four matches. With that said, we anticipate a close contest at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques, with the hosts claiming a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
51.92% ( 0.1)	26.24% ( 0.04)	21.84% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 44.91% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.95% (

-0.28)

58.05% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.27% (

-0.23)

78.73% (

0.22)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

-0.08)

22.48% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97% (

-0.11)

56.03% (

0.11)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.94% (

-0.31)

42.06% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.51% (

-0.27)

78.49% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.92%

Pacos de Ferreira 21.84%

Draw 26.24%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.92%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.12% Total : 21.84%