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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Sporting Lisbon

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 4
Sporting Lisbon


Delgado (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marafona (7' og.), Santos (33'), Trincao (62'), Chermiti (90+3')
Morita (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Pacos de Ferreira may have secured a vital win last weekend, but they have only tasted victory in front of their own fans twice all season, and with Sporting Lisbon's record on the road, it is difficult to see anything other than an away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawSporting Lisbon
8.54% (-0.026 -0.03) 14.66% (-0.036 -0.04) 76.79% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (0.075999999999993 0.08)35.45% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (0.085000000000001 0.09)57.49% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)82.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03)7.59% (-0.0301 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.83% (0.076999999999998 0.08)27.17% (-0.081 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.55%
    Sporting Lisbon 76.77%
    Draw 14.66%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 8.55%
1-1 @ 6.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 14.66%
0-2 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.67% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 6.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.95% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.42% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
0-6 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 76.77%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Sporting Lisbon

Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sporting Lisbon
100%
25
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 9.15pm
Apr 3, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Sarabia (20' pen.), Santos (72')
Palhinha (45+4'), Sarabia (58')

Ferreira (18'), Baixinho (53'), Antunes (56'), Delgado (87')
Nov 7, 2021 7pm
Feb 15, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Mario (20' pen.), Palhinha (48')
Mendes (8'), Feddal (14'), Porro (54'), Adan (75'), Cabral (88')

Baixinho (13'), Rebocho (19'), Tanque (22')
Sep 27, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 2
Pacos de Ferreira
0-2
Sporting Lisbon

Tanque (21'), Eustaquio (74')
Cabral (23' pen.), Coates (63')
Neto (10'), Cabral (25'), Wendel (36'), Adan (45+3'), Nunes (80'), Feddal (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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