Pacos de Ferreira0 - 4Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
for
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Pacos de Ferreira may have secured a vital win last weekend, but they have only tasted victory in front of their own fans twice all season, and with Sporting Lisbon's record on the road, it is difficult to see anything other than an away victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
8.54% ( -0.03) | 14.66% ( -0.04) | 76.79% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.55% ( 0.08) | 35.45% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.51% ( 0.09) | 57.49% ( -0.09) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.01) | 47.4% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.21% ( -0.01) | 82.78% ( 0) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.4% ( 0.03) | 7.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.08) | 27.17% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 8.55% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 14.66% | 0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 10.27% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 76.77% |
