Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 24, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Maga (4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Goncalves (47'), Arthur (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Juventus
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting have found wins hard to come by of late, but they will fancy their chances of seeing off the threat of an out-of-sorts Vitoria side. We are backing the away side to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
20.98% ( 0.01)	23.57% ( 0.03)	55.45% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.15% (

-0.09)

48.85% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

-0.08)

70.95% (

0.09)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.32% (

-0.04)

37.68% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.54% (

-0.04)

74.46% (

0.05)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

-0.04)

17.47% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.06% (

-0.08)

47.95% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 20.98%

Sporting Lisbon 55.45%

Draw 23.56%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.47% 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.98%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 55.45%