Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Casa Pia3 - 4Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vizela 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
With their respective European qualification ambitions on the line, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Pina Manique. While Casa Pia will be looking to make it three straight home wins, Amorim's side boasts the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we are backing them to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.53% ( 0.46) | 23.47% ( 0.49) | 60% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( -1.09) | 54.44% ( 1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -0.91) | 75.8% ( 0.92) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.92% ( -0.04) | 46.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.22% ( -0.04) | 81.78% ( 0.04) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( -0.73) | 17.85% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.38% ( -1.27) | 48.62% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Casa Pia 16.53%
Sporting Lisbon 59.99%
Draw 23.46%
| Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.53% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 14.17% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 12.2% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.99% |
How you voted: Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon
Casa Pia
0.0%Draw
14.3%Sporting Lisbon
85.7%28
Head to Head
Form Guide
