Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.18% ( 0.16) | 26.36% ( -0.01) | 27.46% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.65% ( -0.06) | 54.34% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.27% ( -0.05) | 75.73% ( 0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( 0.05) | 23.49% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( 0.07) | 57.52% ( -0.08) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% ( -0.16) | 34.89% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% ( -0.17) | 71.63% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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