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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Casa Pia

Vizela
3 - 1
Casa Pia

Zolotic (37' og.), Nunes (81' og.), Etim (87')
Guzzo (60'), Rashid (74'), Etim (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martins (25')
Fernandes (35'), Godwin (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-1 Casa Pia

Vizela and Casa Pia head into the weekend in similar form and we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two evenly-matched sides. Os Gansos have struggled for results on the road but we predict that they will hold the Vizelenses to a share of the spoils and leave the Estadio do FC Vizela with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawCasa Pia
46.18% (0.164 0.16) 26.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 27.46% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.34% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)75.73% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)23.49% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (0.074999999999996 0.07)57.52% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)34.89% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (-0.166 -0.17)71.63% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 46.18%
    Casa Pia 27.46%
    Draw 26.35%
VizelaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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