Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Juventus1 - 0Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Masters of taking the lead and then grinding out a gritty victory, a well-drilled Juventus side can nullify Sporting's lively attack and take a slim advantage with them to Lisbon next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
31.65% ( -0.02) | 25.64% ( -0) | 42.71% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.01) | 49.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0) | 71.55% ( 0) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.01) | 29.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.01) | 65.3% ( 0.02) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 0.02) | 23.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.1% ( 0.02) | 56.9% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Juventus 31.65%
Sporting Lisbon 42.71%
Draw 25.64%
| Juventus | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.71% |
How you voted: Juventus vs Sporting Lisbon
Juventus
72.6%Draw
11.2%Sporting Lisbon
16.1%223
Head to Head
Form Guide
