Europa League

Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

(Juventus win 2-1 on aggregate)

Gatti (73')
Rabiot (24'), Vlahovic (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Inacio (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon

Masters of taking the lead and then grinding out a gritty victory, a well-drilled Juventus side can nullify Sporting's lively attack and take a slim advantage with them to Lisbon next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
31.65% ( -0.02)	25.64% ( -0)	42.71% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.48% (

0.01)

49.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.45% (

71.55% (

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.01)

29.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.01)

65.3% (

0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.93% (

0.02)

23.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.1% (

0.02)

56.9% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Juventus 31.65%

Sporting Lisbon 42.71%

Draw 25.64%

Juventus	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 31.65%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 42.71%