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Juventus logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
Inter logo

Juventus
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Cuadrado (83')
Miretti (89'), Cuadrado (90+5')
Cuadrado (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Brozovic (41'), Lukaku (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan

 Often a tempestuous affair, the most recent Derby d'Italia saw both teams have a man sent off at the end as scuffles broke out, so bad blood may affect how Tuesday's game plays out. There is every chance that red could be flashed again, as 1-0 specialists Juventus take a slim lead to Milan following a cautious first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawInter Milan
32.07% (2.246 2.25) 25.92% (0.099 0.1) 42.01% (-2.343 -2.34)
Both teams to score 53.59% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.445 0.45)50.6% (-0.443 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (0.392 0.39)72.51% (-0.39099999999999 -0.39)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (1.774 1.77)29.59% (-1.774 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38% (2.111 2.11)65.63% (-2.11 -2.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.944 -0.94)23.88% (0.945 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-1.371 -1.37)58.08% (1.372 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 32.07%
    Inter Milan 42.01%
    Draw 25.92%
JuventusDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.264 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.383 0.38)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.404 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.05% (0.293 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.257 0.26)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.07%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 10.12% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.369 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 42.01%

How you voted: Juventus vs Inter Milan

Juventus
71.4%
Draw
15.5%
Inter Milan
13.1%
206
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 7.45pm
Inter Milan
0-1
Juventus

Barella (30'), D'Ambrosio (90+7'), Brozovic (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (90+8')
Kostic (23')
Gatti (31'), Rabiot (71'), Danilo (88'), Paredes (90+1')
Paredes (90+8')
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
2-0
Inter Milan
Rabiot (52'), Fagioli (84')

Calhanoglu (56')
May 11, 2022 8pm
Final
Juventus
2-4
Inter Milan
Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
rhs 2.0
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