Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

Apr 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
1 - 1
Inter Milan

(Inter Milan win 2-1 on aggregate)

Cuadrado (83')
Miretti (89'), Cuadrado (90+5')
Cuadrado (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Brozovic (41'), Lukaku (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Juventus and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan

Often a tempestuous affair, the most recent Derby d'Italia saw both teams have a man sent off at the end as scuffles broke out, so bad blood may affect how Tuesday's game plays out. There is every chance that red could be flashed again, as 1-0 specialists Juventus take a slim lead to Milan following a cautious first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Inter Milan
32.07% ( 2.25)	25.92% ( 0.1)	42.01% ( -2.34)

Both teams to score 53.59% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

0.45)

50.6% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49% (

0.39)

72.51% (

-0.39)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

1.77)

29.59% (

-1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.38% (

2.11)

65.63% (

-2.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0.94)

23.88% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

-1.37)

58.08% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Juventus 32.07%

Inter Milan 42.01%

Draw 25.92%

Juventus	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.07%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.01%