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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Barella (30'), Brozovic (90+7'), D'Ambrosio (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kostic (23')
Gatti (31'), Rabiot (71'), Danilo (88'), Paredes (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Juventus

Inter have lost three of their last six Serie A matches following Champions League fixtures - including both of their last two - but they have had two days more to recover from their travels than Juventus. In their final game before the international break, both sides will empty the tank in pursuit of Derby d'Italia glory, and there could well be a share of the spoils after an absorbing encounter at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
52.56% (1.182 1.18) 25.44% (-0.114 -0.11) 22.01% (-1.067 -1.07)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.91200000000001 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.561 -0.56)55.03% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (-0.463 -0.46)76.3% (0.465 0.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.26600000000001 0.27)20.96% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.416 0.42)53.72% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-1.36 -1.36)40.16% (1.36 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-1.264 -1.26)76.8% (1.265 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.55%
    Juventus 22.01%
    Draw 25.44%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.379 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.55%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.01%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
45.9%
Draw
20.5%
Juventus
33.6%
146
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 7.45pm
May 11, 2022 8pm
Final
Juventus
2-4
Inter Milan
Sandro (50'), Vlahovic (52')
Allegri (83'), Locatelli (90+2')
Allegri (104')
Barella (7'), Calhanoglu (80' pen.), Perisic (98' pen., 102')
Brozovic (55'), Vidal (119')
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
0-1
Inter Milan

Rabiot (15'), Locatelli (27'), Morata (45+1'), Cuadrado (45+4')
Calhanoglu (45+5' pen.)
Martinez (2'), Skriniar (45+4'), Perisic (75'), Calhanoglu (76')
Jan 12, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
2-1
Juventus
Martinez (35' pen.), Sanchez (120')
Dzeko (60'), Correa (106'), Vidal (118'), Sanchez (120')
McKennie (25')
Bernardeschi (43'), Dybala (105'), Rugani (109')
Oct 24, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
1-1
Juventus
Dzeko (17')
Barella (40'), Perisic (71')
Inzaghi (89')
Dybala (89' pen.)
Sandro (44'), Chiellini (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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