MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:30:53| >> :600:385759:385759:
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Europa League
Juventus logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Freiburg logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Freiburg

di Maria (53')
Bremer (72'), Bonucci (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ginter (24'), Holer (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Juventus 2-1 Freiburg

 Juventus have not won a European trophy since 1996, and with a point to prove given recent events at the club, they should be clear-minded about their task. While Freiburg are far from pushovers, the Bianconeri possess far more individual quality and experience at this level, so can take a lead with them to Germany next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFreiburg
56.89% (0.656 0.66) 22.38% (-0.453 -0.45) 20.73% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.88% (1.175 1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (1.712 1.71)44.08% (-1.713 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (1.648 1.65)66.46% (-1.648 -1.65)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.816 0.82)15.27% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (1.514 1.51)43.97% (-1.515 -1.52)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (0.768 0.77)35.22% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (0.794 0.79)71.98% (-0.795 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 56.89%
    Freiburg 20.73%
    Draw 22.37%
JuventusDrawFreiburg
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.95% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.166 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.106 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 10.54% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.73%

How you voted: Juventus vs Freiburg

Juventus
85.9%
Draw
7.7%
Freiburg
6.4%
220
rhs 2.0
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