We said: SV Sandhausen 1-3 Freiburg
With Freiburg likely to rotate several players given that they are competing on three fronts this season, Sandhausen could have an outside chance of causing a major upset on Tuesday.
However, the visitors should still have enough quality within their ranks to progress to the quarter-finals, especially with them likely to be determined to bounce back after suffering a huge defeat in Dortmund in their last match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Sandhausen win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Sandhausen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.