Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves1 - 0Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Braga
Friday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Chaves 2-1 Casa Pia
Having lost one of their last six matches, Chaves look set to continue their strong end to the season with a narrow victory over Casa Pia, who are on course to suffer a sixth defeat in nine outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Chaves win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
34.53% ( 0.03) | 25.59% ( 0.01) | 39.88% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( -0.04) | 48.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( -0.03) | 70.7% ( 0.03) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( 0) | 27.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0) | 62.41% ( 0) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.04) | 24.07% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.65% ( -0.05) | 58.34% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 34.53%
Casa Pia 39.88%
Draw 25.59%
| Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.88% |
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
