We say: North Macedonia 1-0 Faroe Islands
North Macedonia have taken control of this group and they are unbeaten in their last six fixtures on home soil. The Faroes have put themselves in a good position to reach the playoffs, but historically they have struggled away from home.
Therefore, we are going with a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts, which could hinder the Faroe Islands' promotion hopes if results elsewhere go against them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a North Macedonia win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Faroe Islands has a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Faroe Islands win it is 0-1 (5.47%).