MX23RW : Friday, November 15 22:13:47| >> :60:484:484:
Azerbaijan national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sahar stadionu
Estonia national football team

Azerbaijan
vs.
Estonia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Slovakia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Azerbaijan 2-1 Estonia

A long-awaited win could be on the cards for Azerbaijan, as they have the benefit of home advantage and Estonia do not tend to travel well. Neither side is watertight in defence, so goals are surely guaranteed at Qabala City Stadium, where the hosts can keep hopes of League C survival alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw has a probability of 20.6% and a win for Estonia has a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Estonia win it is 0-1 (4.88%).

Result
AzerbaijanDrawEstonia
64.65% (-3.422 -3.42) 20.57% (1.434 1.43) 14.79% (1.984 1.98)
Both teams to score 49.06% (0.671 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (-1.932 -1.93)45.95% (1.931 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (-1.856 -1.86)68.25% (1.853 1.85)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-1.56 -1.56)13.46% (1.557 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-3.219 -3.22)40.45% (3.217 3.22)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69% (1.765 1.77)43.31% (-1.766 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45% (1.443 1.44)79.55% (-1.443 -1.44)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 64.64%
    Estonia 14.79%
    Draw 20.57%
AzerbaijanDrawEstonia
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-0.786 -0.79)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 3.93% (-0.659 -0.66)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.368 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.377 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 64.64%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.683 0.68)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.464 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.57%
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.603 0.6)
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.467 0.47)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.338 0.34)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.79%

Who will win Saturday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Estonia?

Azerbaijan
Draw
Estonia
Azerbaijan
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Estonia
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 5pm
League C
Estonia
3-1
Azerbaijan
Jakovlev (32'), Sinyavskiy (45+2'), Robert Shein (71')
Robert Shein (37'), Anier (58')
Bayramov (45+1' pen.)
Oct 13, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Estonia
0-2
Azerbaijan

Pikk (18'), Kait (68'), Vetkal (90+1')
Bayramov (9'), Seydayev (45+4' pen.)
Mahmudov (22'), Mammadov (40'), Madatov (45+1')
Jun 17, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
1-1
Estonia
Krivotsyuk (62')
Bayramov (72')
Sappinen (27')
Mets (42'), Kait (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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