Nations League | League C
Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia3 - 1Azerbaijan
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bayramov (45+1' pen.)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Estonia 0-1 Azerbaijan
Even though Azerbaijan do not pick up many points on the road, they should have the firepower to outgun an ailing Estonia side that lacks depth in the final third. The visitors are set to get their Group 1 campaign up and running, leaving their hosts to contemplate the prospect of relegation. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
40.55% ( -0.84) | 25.3% ( -0.15) | 34.16% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( 0.89) | 47.34% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( 0.82) | 69.56% ( -0.82) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.94% ( -0.04) | 57.06% ( 0.05) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( 1.05) | 26.67% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.08% ( 1.36) | 61.92% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Estonia 40.55%
Azerbaijan 34.16%
Draw 25.29%
| Estonia | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.16% |
How you voted: Estonia vs Azerbaijan
Estonia
19.8%Draw
18.6%Azerbaijan
61.7%167
Form Guide
