Baltic Cup | Semi-Finals
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia4 - 1Faroe Islands
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Switzerland 4-0 Estonia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
We said: Estonia 2-1 Faroe Islands
These two nations have not met since 2011, and we see Saturday's semi-final as an intriguing contest as a result and put the teams on a relatively level playing field. With a spot in the final on the line, the game could certainly be a cagey one, and we give a narrow edge to the Sinisargid with home advantage in Tallinn. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
34.99% ( -1.38) | 28.3% ( 0.15) | 36.71% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
