Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Thorsvollur

Faroe Islands
0 - 2
Poland

Mohr Jonsson (85'), Faero (90+4')
Askam (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Szymanski (4'), Buksa (65')
Cash (16'), Milik (43'), Slisz (90+4'), Piotrowski (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Faroe Islands and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	5	5	10
2	Czech Republic	4	5	8
3	Moldova	5	0	8
4	Poland	5	-2	6
5	Faroe Islands	5	-8	1

Poland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Albania 2-0 Poland
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Albania	5	5	10
2	Czech Republic	4	5	8
3	Moldova	5	0	8
4	Poland	5	-2	6
5	Faroe Islands	5	-8	1

We said: Faroe Islands 0-2 Poland

Although Poland are yet to pick up a point away from home in Group E, they have far more quality than the Faroe Islands, which was on display in the reverse fixture. As such, we expect the visitors to emerge as comfortable winners, boosting their chances of qualifying for Euro 2024 in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 13.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.83%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Poland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Poland.

Result
Faroe Islands	Draw	Poland
13.51% ( 0)	20.82% ( 0.02)	65.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

-0.05)

49.6% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.38% (

-0.04)

71.62% (

0.05)

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.55% (

-0.02)

47.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.18% (

-0.02)

82.82% (

0.02)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.7% (

-0.02)

14.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.88% (

-0.04)

42.11% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Faroe Islands 13.51%

Poland 65.66%

Draw 20.82%

Faroe Islands	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.51%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.66%