We said: Poland 2-0 Albania
In Santos's first home game as manager, there will have to be improvement on Friday's performance, and there should be more to come from the likes of Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski.
Albania are often a frustrating team to break down, but without Broja in attack, and the injured trio of Ismajli, Keidi Bare and Berat Djimsiti, they may struggle to come away from Warsaw with anything.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Albania had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.
1.87) 
-0.16) 
