Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Rochdale |
29.64% ( 1.54) | 24.16% ( 0.13) | 46.2% ( -1.67) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( 0.37) | 43.93% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( 0.36) | 66.31% ( -0.36) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 1.26) | 27.88% ( -1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.51% ( 1.59) | 63.49% ( -1.59) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.83% ( -0.54) | 19.17% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.16% ( -0.9) | 50.84% ( 0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Rochdale |
2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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