Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 30.15% and a draw has a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Alaves win is 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.34%).
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
30.15% ( 0.47) | 29.36% ( 0.29) | 40.49% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 42.96% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.29% ( -0.78) | 63.7% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.02% ( -0.56) | 82.97% ( 0.56) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -0.06) | 37.85% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.38% ( -0.06) | 74.62% ( 0.06) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( -0.83) | 30.88% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.84% ( -0.99) | 67.16% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 30.15% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 13.73% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.29% Total : 40.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
7 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |