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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Brighton
1 - 3
Crystal Palace

Guehi (87' og.)
Dunk (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Chalobah (27'), Sarr (33', 82')
Guehi (45+4'), Munoz (51'), Henderson (69'), Sarr (79')

The Match

Match Report

A wasteful Brighton & Hove Albion are condemned to their first Premier League home defeat of the season as Crystal Palace triumph 3-1 at the Amex in the M23 derby.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Crystal Palace could line up in the A23 derby against Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sunday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-2 Man City
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrystal Palace
48.86% (-0.23 -0.23) 22.67% (0.032 0.03) 28.47% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.8% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)59.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)15.73% (0.086 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (-0.163 -0.16)44.82% (0.159 0.16)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.119 0.12)25.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.163 0.16)60.32% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 48.86%
    Crystal Palace 28.47%
    Draw 22.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion
60.0%
Draw
18.7%
Crystal Palace
21.3%
155
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Brighton
4-1
Crystal Palace
Dunk (3'), Hinshelwood (33'), Buonanotte (34'), Pedro (85')
De Zerbi (7'), Welbeck (90+2')
Mateta (71')
Guehi (16'), Franca (59'), Munoz (62')
Dec 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Andersen (87' og.)
Gallagher (69')
Eze (44'), Hughes (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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