Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 72.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
72.34% ( 0.88) | 16.42% ( -0.29) | 11.25% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.7% ( -0.28) | 35.3% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.68% ( -0.31) | 57.32% ( 0.3) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.49% ( 0.13) | 8.51% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.51% ( 0.31) | 29.48% ( -0.31) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.04% ( -1.19) | 41.95% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.6% ( -1.05) | 78.39% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 72.33% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.42% | 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.33% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
2 | Liverpool | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Arsenal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Aston Villa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
9 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
11 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 9 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
20 | Southampton | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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