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FA Cup
Everton logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Crystal Palace logo

Everton
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gomes (42')
Harrison (48'), Calvert-Lewin (85'), Virginia (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lerma (41'), Andersen (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Everton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in FA Cup

We said: Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace (a.e.t, Everton to win on penalties)

 A 13-day rest ought to have done Palace's shot-shy attackers the world of good, while jellied legs are sure to at least slightly hinder Wednesday's hosts, but their dogged display against a title-chasing Aston Villa is to be commended. The net may therefore ripple at both ends this week, but separating these two sides over the course of normal time and extra time remains an impossible ask. Everton have already lost one penalty shootout in the EFL Cup this term, but we are now backing Dyche's side to learn from that heartache and prevail from 12 yards this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
41.97% (1.112 1.11) 26.11% (-0.178 -0.18) 31.91% (-0.941 -0.94)
Both teams to score 52.95% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (0.464 0.46)51.4% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.402 0.4)73.22% (-0.41000000000001 -0.41)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.77500000000001 0.78)24.25% (-0.781 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (1.091 1.09)58.61% (-1.097 -1.1)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (-0.395 -0.39)30.09% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (-0.476 -0.48)66.23% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Everton 41.96%
    Crystal Palace 31.91%
    Draw 26.1%
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.96%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Everton vs Crystal Palace

Everton
56.9%
Draw
24.8%
Crystal Palace
18.3%
109
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2024 8pm
Third Round
Crystal Palace
0-0
Everton
Eze (13'), Mateta (86')
Calvert-Lewin (79')
> Match Report
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crystal Palace
2-3
Everton
Eze (5' pen.), Edouard (74')
Eze (24')
Mykolenko (1'), Doucoure (49'), Gueye (86')
Doucoure (45+2'), Onana (87'), Garner (89'), Mykolenko (90+7')
> Match Report
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Crystal Palace
0-0
Everton
> Match Report
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Everton
3-0
Crystal Palace
Calvert-Lewin (11'), Gordon (63'), McNeil (84')
> Preview
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Everton
3-2
Crystal Palace
Keane (54'), Richarlison (75'), Calvert-Lewin (85')
Keane (67'), Doucoure (82')
Mateta (21'), Ayew (36')
Hughes (32'), Ayew (34'), Zaha (69')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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