FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bramall Lane

Sheff Utd
2 - 5
Brighton

Hamer (44'), Osula (45+8')
Norwood (10'), Hamer (45+7')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Buonanotte (14'), Pedro (29' pen., 52' pen., 67'), Welbeck (90+7')
Webster (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sheffield United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 West Ham
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Wolves
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

We said: Sheffield United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Having finally been thwarted at the Amex once again, a Brighton side bereft of attacking options are at risk of further offensive disappointment against one of their bogey teams, who displayed tremendous grit to take a point off of West Ham. Both teams could certainly do without a fourth-round replay, but we are finding it impossible to pick a winner at Bramall Lane, where a low-scoring stalemate could be on the menu thanks to Sheffield United's knockout nous. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.59%) and 1-3 (6.5%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Sheffield United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
25.64% ( 1.99)	21.01% ( 0.15)	53.35% ( -2.14)

Both teams to score 66.34% (

1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.09% (

1.41)

31.9% (

-1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.54% (

1.63)

53.45% (

-1.64)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

2.22)

24.39% (

-2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

3.04)

58.8% (

-3.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.74% (

-0.14)

12.26% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62% (

-0.3)

38% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Sheffield United 25.64%

Brighton & Hove Albion 53.35%

Draw 21.01%

Sheffield United	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.64%	1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.01%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.53) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.25) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.35%