Exeter2 - 6Leyton Orient
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
for
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One
for
We said: Exeter City 1-2 Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient will carry significant momentum into the midweek fixture, and we think that they will extend their 10-game unbeaten run by claiming a narrow win over an Exeter side that have lost three of their previous five home league matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
30.03% ( -0.15) | 25.69% ( -0.02) | 44.28% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.02) | 50.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.02) | 72.32% ( -0.02) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( -0.09) | 30.88% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.83% ( -0.11) | 67.16% ( 0.12) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( 0.09) | 22.69% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.66% ( 0.14) | 56.34% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 30.03% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.28% |
