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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
23.89% ( -0.14) | 25.94% ( -0.06) | 50.17% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.98% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.78% ( 0.11) | 55.21% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.55% ( 0.09) | 76.45% ( -0.09) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.55% ( -0.07) | 38.44% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.8% ( -0.06) | 75.19% ( 0.06) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( 0.13) | 22.05% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% ( 0.2) | 55.39% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
3 | Wrexham | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 48 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Reading | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 40 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
15 | Blackpool | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 25 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |