Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 28.96% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
28.96% ( -3) | 26.44% ( 0.27) | 44.6% ( 2.73) |
Both teams to score 50.53% ( -2.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.12% ( -2.24) | 53.87% ( 2.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.66% ( -1.91) | 75.33% ( 1.91) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( -3.29) | 33.47% ( 3.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% ( -3.78) | 70.1% ( 3.77) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.95% ( 0.36) | 24.04% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.68% ( 0.52) | 58.31% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 1.08) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.85) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
7 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |