La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao1 - 1Betis
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Betis
This is a tough match to call, with both sides in strong form; Athletic will be the fresher of the two teams, though, and home advantage should also be key on Sunday, so we are expecting the Lions to shade a close contest at San Mames. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Betis |
45.51% ( 0.33) | 25.98% ( 0.07) | 28.51% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( -0.49) | 52.31% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( -0.42) | 74% ( 0.42) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.05) | 22.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.08) | 56.7% ( 0.08) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.56) | 32.99% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.42% ( -0.63) | 69.58% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao 45.51%
Real Betis 28.51%
Draw 25.97%
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.51% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.51% |
How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis
Athletic Bilbao
74.3%Draw
16.8%Real Betis
8.8%113
Form Guide
