Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.08% ( 0.05) | 26.43% ( 0.09) | 45.49% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.01% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( -0.31) | 54.3% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( -0.26) | 75.69% ( 0.26) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% ( -0.12) | 34.37% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% ( -0.13) | 71.08% ( 0.13) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( -0.2) | 23.8% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% ( -0.29) | 57.96% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.08% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |