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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Girona logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Girona

Berenguer (2', 56'), Williams (60')
Lekue (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tsygankov (49'), Garcia (75')
Carlos (20'), Garcia (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Girona
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Girona

This is such a difficult match to call, and it will be fascinating to see Girona's response after their poorest result of the campaign. Athletic are such a strong team, but their recent league form has been patchy, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
52.9% (-1.042 -1.04) 23.07% (0.141 0.14) 24.03% (0.9 0.9)
Both teams to score 57.03% (0.615 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (0.308 0.31)43.33% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (0.3 0.3)65.73% (-0.303 -0.3)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.256 -0.26)16.38% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (-0.465 -0.47)46.01% (0.463 0.46)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (0.94 0.94)31.79% (-0.94 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (1.063 1.06)68.23% (-1.065 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 52.9%
    Girona 24.03%
    Draw 23.06%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGirona
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.9%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.18 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 24.03%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Girona

Athletic Bilbao
35.0%
Draw
29.7%
Girona
35.4%
263
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Girona
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Tsygankov (55')
Blind (59')
Williams (67')
Guruzeta (51')
Feb 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-3
Girona
Berchiche (35'), Garcia (89')
Garcia (4'), De Marcos (19' og.), Vesga (45+1' og.)
Nov 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Girona
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Lopez (67'), Martin (75')
Guruzeta (78')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Girona
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Stuani (37')
Juanpe (72'), Portu (80')
Williams (53'), Garcia (59')
Capa (39'), Garcia (63'), Martinez (80'), Etxebarria (84')
Dec 10, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Girona
Aduriz (90' pen.)
Etxebarria (55'), Nunez (78'), Capa (81')

Juanpe (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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