Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Girona |
52.9% ( -1.04) | 23.07% ( 0.14) | 24.03% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.67% ( 0.31) | 43.33% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.27% ( 0.3) | 65.73% ( -0.3) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.62% ( -0.26) | 16.38% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.99% ( -0.47) | 46.01% ( 0.46) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( 0.94) | 31.79% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.77% ( 1.06) | 68.23% ( -1.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Girona |
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |