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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Girona logo

Almeria
0 - 0
Girona


Baptistao (21'), Fernandes (22'), Akieme (56'), Montes (79'), Fernandes (84')
FT

Fernandez (34'), Juanpe (65'), Savio (71'), Martinez (90+7')
Garcia (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Almeria
Thursday, January 4 at 4pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-2 Girona
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Almeria 0-2 Girona

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Girona, and it would not be a complete shock if Almeria were able to hold the title challengers to a draw on Sunday. Girona are very much in the winning habit at the moment, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawGirona
27.76% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 23.51% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 48.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.12% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02)63.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)17.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.93% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 27.76%
    Girona 48.73%
    Draw 23.51%
AlmeriaDrawGirona
2-1 @ 6.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.41% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 48.73%

How you voted: Almeria vs Girona

Almeria
4.1%
Draw
6.8%
Girona
89.2%
74
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 10
Girona
5-2
Almeria
Martin (37'), Dovbyk (39', 43'), Savio (71'), Stuani (85')
Lopez (45+4')
Baptistao (2', 24')
Robertone (26'), Baptistao (74')
Feb 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Girona
6-2
Almeria
Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Almeria
3-2
Girona
Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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