La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
Getafe2 - 1Almeria
We said: Getafe 1-0 Almeria
Getafe are not losing at the moment, but they are finding it difficult to win, and Almeria certainly have the quality to avoid defeat this weekend. We are expecting a very tight game in terms of the scoreline but believe that Getafe will be able to pick up all three points courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Almeria |
46.5% ( -0.1) | 26.53% ( 0.07) | 26.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
