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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Almeria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
Almeria

Guruzeta (10'), Garcia (63'), Sancet (81')
Herrera (52'), de Marcos (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 3-3 Granada
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Almeria

 Almeria have a talented squad, but it is really difficult to back them at the moment. The visitors will end their winless run at some stage, but it is highly unlikely to be in this match, and we are expecting Athletic to collect all three points in relatively comfortable fashion at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlmeria
61.78% (0.058 0.06) 21.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 16.76% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.68% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)46.1% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)68.4% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (0.012999999999991 0.01)14.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)42.27% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (-0.064 -0.06)40.81% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (-0.058 -0.06)77.38% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 61.78%
    Almeria 16.76%
    Draw 21.46%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.13% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.2%
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.76%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Almeria

Athletic Bilbao
87.8%
Draw
8.9%
Almeria
3.3%
90
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Almeria
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Centelles (90+2')
Williams (9'), De Marcos (56')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Almeria
Williams (10'), Sancet (17'), Williams (62'), Vesga (84' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 21, 2015 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Almeria
Etxeita (9'), Rico (26')
Gomez (19'), Laporte (85')
Balenziaga (47' og.)
Dubarbier (13'), Velez (48'), Soriano (80'), Hemed (90'), Partey (93')
Velez (91')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Almeria
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Partey (13'), Verza (71')
Etxeitia (56')
Iraloa (54')
> Match Report
May 18, 2014 5pm
Almeria
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Azeez (74')
Moran (17'), Etxebarria (32'), Balenziaga (35'), Laporte (56'), Herrera (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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