La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Mallorca0 - 0Athletic Bilbao
FT
Lekue (44')
We said: Mallorca 2-2 Athletic Bilbao
We can see goals in this match, with both teams boasting a lot of talent in the final third of the field. A case can be made for either side to win it, but we have a feeling that the points will be shared on Sunday, which would not be the worst result in the world for either outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
23.65% ( 0.3) | 27.93% ( 0.13) | 48.43% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 42.5% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
