La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-0 Osasuna
Sunday, May 21 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

When you couple Osasuna's strong home form with Athletic Bilbao's impressive away record, all the signs point towards a close-fought battle at El Sadar. Given that only the top six teams have conceded fewer goals than Osasuna and Athletic this season, we expect the European chasers to play out a low-scoring draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
34.47% ( 0.22)	27.22% ( 0.4)	38.31% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.64% (

-1.53)

55.36% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.44% (

-1.27)

76.57% (

1.27)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.61% (

-0.62)

30.4% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.41% (

-0.74)

66.59% (

0.75)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95% (

-1.07)

28.05% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-1.38)

63.71% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 34.46%

Athletic Bilbao 38.31%

Draw 27.22%

Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.46%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.22%	0-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.31%