La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
3 - 2
Betis

Budimir (6', 11'), Moncayola (41')
Hernandez (42'), Kike (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Miranda (16'), Rodriguez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, April 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Osasuna 1-2 Real Betis

Although Osasuna will be determined to remain focused on their La Liga campaign, it is difficult for their players not to become distracted by the final that is waiting in the distance. In contrast, Betis are highly motivated for Saturday's game as they look to maintain their top-four bid and after winning their last six league games against Osasuna, we think that they will continue their impressive head-to-head record by claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Betis
42.21% ( -0.23)	26.26% ( -0.04)	31.53% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 52.32% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.85% (

0.27)

52.15% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

0.23)

73.87% (

-0.23)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

24.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

58.91% (

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

0.33)

30.73% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01% (

0.39)

66.99% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 42.2%

Real Betis 31.53%

Draw 26.26%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.53%