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Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 21, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Osauna logo

Atletico
3 - 0
Osasuna

Carrasco (44'), Niguez (62'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Budimir (28'), Pena (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, May 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 3-1 Almeria
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Osasuna

 Osasuna have often proved to be a tough nut to crack on their travels this season, picking up points in 11 of their 17 away league games. Atletico will be determined to bounce back from their shock loss to Elche, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 4.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.29%) and 1-0 (12.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
83.81% (0.70099999999999 0.7) 12.06% (-0.401 -0.4) 4.13% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 31.37% (-0.909 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.36% (0.281 0.28)42.64% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.96% (0.279 0.28)65.04% (-0.282 -0.28)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.35% (0.22099999999999 0.22)7.65% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.69% (0.57000000000001 0.57)27.31% (-0.573 -0.57)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.97% (-1.07 -1.07)66.03% (1.067 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.57% (-0.4529 -0.45)93.43% (0.45100000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 83.79%
    Osasuna 4.13%
    Draw 12.06%
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
2-0 @ 16.68% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 14.29% (0.3 0.3)
1-0 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.19% (0.295 0.3)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-0 @ 4.72% (0.203 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.02% (0.109 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 83.79%
1-1 @ 5.39% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 1.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 12.06%
0-1 @ 2.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 1.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 4.13%

How you voted: Atletico vs Osasuna

Atletico Madrid
86.0%
Draw
8.0%
Osasuna
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 3.15pm
gameweek 19
Osasuna
0-1
Atletico

Brasanac (70')
Niguez (74')
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 25
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 14
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
Oct 31, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Osasuna
1-3
Atletico
Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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