La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis
Athletic will be missing some important players this weekend, but the same can also be said for Real Betis. We were close to backing an away win, and it would not be a surprise to see the visitors triumph here, but Athletic are good enough to claim a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17% . A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41% .
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%) , while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result Athletic Bilbao Draw Real Betis 47.17% ( -0.06) 26.43% ( 0.01) 26.41% ( 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.01)
44.76% ( -0.03) 55.24% ( 0.03)
23.53% ( -0.03) 76.47% ( 0.02)
76.58% ( -0.05) 23.42% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.59% ( -0.06) 57.41% ( 0.06)
63.76% ( 0.02) 36.24% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.98% ( 0.02) 73.02% ( -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao 47.16%
Real Betis 26.41%
Draw 26.42%
Athletic Bilbao Draw Real Betis 1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.16% 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.42% 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.41%
How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis
Athletic Bilbao
Draw
Real Betis
57
rhs 2.0
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