La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames
Athletic Bilbao3 - 2Real Betis
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis
Real Betis are a team to be taken extremely seriously this season, and it will be fascinating to see whether they are capable of claiming a top-four spot. Pellegrini's side will be searching for their 11th league win of the season this weekend, but we are expecting draw specialists Athletic to hold the visitors here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Betis |
| 32.13% | 25.76% | 42.1% |
| Both teams to score 54.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
