Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
46.64% ( 0.04) | 24.93% ( -0.01) | 28.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% ( 0.01) | 47.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% ( 0.01) | 70.15% ( -0.02) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% ( 0.02) | 20.62% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.17% ( -0.04) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.02) | 30.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.02) | 67.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |