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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Granada logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Granada

Pepelu (45+7' pen.)
Guerra (51'), Paulista (58'), Lopez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumbau (12'), Sanchez (40'), Torrente (45+6'), Villar (78'), Zaragoza (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Arosa 0-3 Granada
Thursday, November 2 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 2-1 Granada

Granada have not had too many problems finding the back of the net this season, scoring 17 times, with only six sides scoring more in La Liga in 2023-24. Lopez's side are conceding at an alarming rate, though, and we are expecting an in-form Valencia to shade this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawGranada
48.61% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 26.65% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 24.74% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.8% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.141 0.14)57.17% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.113 0.11)78.03% (-0.114 -0.11)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.075000000000003 0.08)23.58% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.107 0.11)57.65% (-0.108 -0.11)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.086999999999996 0.09)38.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.49% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 48.6%
    Granada 24.74%
    Draw 26.65%
ValenciaDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.74%

How you voted: Valencia vs Granada

Valencia
80.4%
Draw
10.9%
Granada
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
3-1
Granada
Guedes (48'), Gomez (51'), Soler (62' pen.)
Comert (27'), Musah (34'), Maranhao (69')
Domenech (56' og.)
Diaz (63'), Rochina (79'), Quini (88')
Aug 21, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Granada
1-1
Valencia
Suarez Charris (16')
Monchu (45'), Duarte (45+3'), Sanchez (49'), Gonalons (90')
Soler (88' pen.)
Alderete (65'), Correia (81')
Mar 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Valencia
2-1
Granada
Wass (4'), Blanco (66')
Soldado (90')
Sanchez (33'), Quini (67'), Montoro (90+5')
Dec 30, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 16
Granada
2-1
Valencia
Kenedy (45+3'), Molina (88')
Foulquier (16'), Herrera (40'), Puertas (72'), Gonalons (90+6')
Duarte (76')
Gameiro (36')
Jason (9'), Wass (33'), Mangala (48')
Jason (70'), Guedes (73')
Jul 4, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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