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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Valencia logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Valencia

de Marcos (32'), Berenguer (90+7')
Paredes (12'), Garcia (55'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (62'), Duro (68')
Amallah (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Cadiz
Monday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia

Valencia are certainly good enough to claim a positive result on Sunday, and it would not be a surprise to see a draw here. Athletic have been strong at home this season, though, and we are expecting Valverde's side to navigate their way to what would be an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
51.9% (-0.75 -0.75) 25.97% (0.35 0.35) 22.13% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.873 -0.87)56.84% (0.875 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.704 -0.7)77.77% (0.706 0.71)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)21.98% (0.678 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-1.037 -1.04)55.28% (1.038 1.04)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)41.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)77.61% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 51.89%
    Valencia 22.13%
    Draw 25.97%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 51.89%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.298 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.246 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia

Athletic Bilbao
80.7%
Draw
12.3%
Valencia
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Jan 26, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
De Marcos (43' og.)
Muniain (35'), Williams (45'), Vesga (74' pen.)
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Valencia
Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Valencia
Alvarez (8'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (90'), Simon (90+9')
Diakhaby (26'), Moriba (53'), Guillamon (72')
Guillamon (90+8')
Mar 2, 2022 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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