Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
31.16% ( -0.01) | 26.71% ( -0) | 42.13% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.91% ( 0.02) | 54.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% ( 0.01) | 75.52% ( -0.01) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0) | 31.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% | 68.44% ( 0) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% ( 0.02) | 25.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.82% ( 0.02) | 60.19% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 15 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Real Madrid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Villarreal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
5 | AlavesAlaves | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Mallorca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
11 | GironaGirona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Sevilla | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Leganes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 4 |
18 | Getafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
20 | Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
> La Liga Full Table |