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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Valencia logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Valencia

Ozkacar (6' og.)
Guridi (38'), Gorosabel (45+2'), Guevara (82'), Benavidez (89'), Garcia (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gaya (45+2'), Diakhaby (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Valencia

 Alaves were impressive in their last home match against Sevilla, and we are expecting them to be a difficult side to beat at Mendizorrotza Stadium this season. Valencia are still short of firepower, so we can see a low-scoring draw taking place this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.09%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawValencia
35.74% (-0.34 -0.34) 30.27% (-0.096 -0.1) 33.99% (0.435 0.44)
Both teams to score 41.41% (0.273 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.05% (0.308 0.31)65.95% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.45% (0.211 0.21)84.55% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)35.04% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)71.78% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (0.478 0.48)36.25% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (0.481 0.48)73.03% (-0.482 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 35.73%
    Valencia 33.98%
    Draw 30.26%
AlavesDrawValencia
1-0 @ 13.31% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.6% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.26%
0-1 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Alaves vs Valencia

Alaves
37.8%
Draw
26.7%
Valencia
35.6%
45
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Alaves
2-1
Valencia
N'Diaye (14'), Joselu (76' pen.)
Tenaglia (37'), Pina (45+2'), Escalante (61'), Laguardia (90+7')
Guedes (62' pen.)
Diakhaby (76'), Lato (84'), Gil (88')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 3
Valencia
3-0
Alaves
Wass (3'), Soler (45+2'), Guedes (60')
Diakhaby (86')

Lejeune (28'), N'Diaye (45'), Pacheco (61'), Miazga (61')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Valencia
1-1
Alaves
Gaya (89')
Gaya (4'), Guillamon (37'), Vallejo (81'), Soler (83')
Guidetti (84')
Calleja Revilla (49')
Lopez (87')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
Alaves
2-2
Valencia
Navarro (2'), Perez (16' pen.)
Lejeune (37')
Vallejo (72'), Guillamon (77')
Guillamon (53')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
1-1
Valencia
Mendez (73')
Perez (36'), Navarro (39'), Ely (42'), Joselu (62'), Mendez (84')
Parejo (34')
Kondogbia (35'), Gaya (61'), Florenzi (90'), Diakhaby (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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