Segunda Division | 2nd Leg
Jun 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves2 - 0Eibar
Rebbach (1'), Villalibre (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
We said: Alaves 2-1 Eibar (Alaves to win 3-2 on aggregate)
After playing out a 1-1 draw in the first leg, we expect Thursday's contest to be another close-fought encounter, but we think home advantage could prove decisive for an Alaves side that have lost just one league game at Mendizorroza this season, and as a result, we expect them to claim a narrow victory against Eibar in the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 28.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Eibar |
40.22% ( 0.77) | 30.83% ( 0.07) | 28.96% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 38.97% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
