MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 03:15:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eibar logo
Segunda Division | 1st Leg
Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa
Alaves logo

Eibar
1 - 1
Alaves

Stoichkov (45+1')
Berrocal (30'), Blanco (40'), Munoz (48'), Arbilla (60')
Arbilla (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sylla (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Eibar
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

We said: Eibar 1-1 Alaves

There is not much to choose between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting both legs to be incredibly tight, with penalties potentially ultimately being needed to separate them. Eibar will be hoping to secure a first-leg advantage, but we believe that Alaves will be able to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
EibarDrawAlaves
50.46% (0.222 0.22) 29.1% (0.51 0.51) 20.44% (-0.729 -0.73)
Both teams to score 36.7% (-1.847 -1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.2% (-1.905 -1.91)67.8% (1.908 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.2% (-1.287 -1.29)85.8% (1.29 1.29)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (-0.807 -0.81)27.56% (0.81 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (-1.056 -1.06)63.08% (1.059 1.06)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.66% (-1.963 -1.96)49.34% (1.966 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.8% (-1.425 -1.43)84.2% (1.428 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 50.45%
    Alaves 20.44%
    Draw 29.1%
EibarDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 17.52% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 50.45%
0-0 @ 13.6% (0.93 0.93)
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.256 -0.26)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 20.44%

How you voted: Eibar vs Alaves

Eibar
58.8%
Draw
11.8%
Alaves
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
gameweek 26
Alaves
2-0
Eibar
Villalibre (70', 90+2')
Nov 20, 2022 6pm
gameweek 16
Eibar
0-0
Alaves
May 1, 2021 1pm
gameweek 34
Eibar
3-0
Alaves
Kike (3', 50', 59')

Pina (44'), Battaglia (57')
Dec 23, 2020 9pm
gameweek 15
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Mendez (41'), Deyverson (45+2')
Mendez (38'), Battaglia (56'), Pina (62'), Laguardia (89')
Leon (4')
Gil (81'), Arieta (88')
Feb 7, 2020 8pm
gameweek 23
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Perez (46'), Burke (66')
Vidal (35'), Navarro (74'), Garcia (85')
Orellana (83')
Leon (53'), Charles (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing de SantanderRacing16114125121337
2Granada167542621526
3Real Oviedo157532116526
4Real ZaragozaZaragoza167452619725
5Sporting GijonSporting Gijon157442316725
6MirandesMirandes157441612425
7Almeria157442725225
8Levante146531915423
9ElcheElche156451613322
10Malaga1541011211122
11EibarEibar166371416-221
12CastellonCastellon146262321220
13Huesca155462017319
14Eldense155371922-318
15CadizCadiz164661822-418
16Burgos165381421-718
17Albacete154562226-417
18CordobaCordoba154561822-417
19Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo154471818016
20Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol15276917-813
21TenerifeTenerife142481221-910
22CartagenaCartagena1631121227-1510


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