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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Las Palmas

Valencia
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Pepelu (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, August 12 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and both sides will certainly believe that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we have a feeling that Valencia will edge a close match in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
32.5% (-0.921 -0.92) 27.49% (-0.299 -0.3) 40.01% (1.221 1.22)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.673 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (0.946 0.95)56.72% (-0.946 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (0.756 0.76)77.67% (-0.755 -0.75)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)32.39% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-0.163 -0.16)68.91% (0.164 0.16)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (1.149 1.15)27.73% (-1.149 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (1.449 1.45)63.3% (-1.449 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 32.49%
    Las Palmas 40.01%
    Draw 27.48%
ValenciaDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.49%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.205 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.195 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.01%

How you voted: Valencia vs Las Palmas

Valencia
82.3%
Draw
6.5%
Las Palmas
11.3%
62
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
Jan 3, 2018 8pm
Fifth Round
Las Palmas
1-1
Valencia
Calleri (36')
Galvez (62'), Navarro (78'), Calleri (90')
Rodrigo (85')
Zaza (76')
Aug 18, 2017 9pm
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Zaza (22')
Zaza (9'), Parejo (40'), Gaya (71')

Navarro (47'), Bigas (67'), Simon (80')
Halilovic (33')
Jan 30, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-1
Valencia
Viera (42'), Lemos (58'), Boateng (61')
Mesa (82')
Mina (21')
Nani (27'), Perez (44'), El-Haddadi (48'), Parejo (64')
El-Haddadi (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona15111343162734
2Real Madrid14103130111933
3Atletico MadridAtletico159512681832
4Athletic Bilbao157532214826
5Villarreal147522723426
6Mallorca157351513224
7Osasuna156542023-323
8GironaGirona156452220222
9Real Sociedad156361311221
10Real BetisBetis155551618-220
11Sevilla155461419-519
12Celta Vigo155372327-418
13Rayo Vallecano144461416-216
14Las PalmasLas Palmas154382026-615
15Leganes153661420-615
16AlavesAlaves154291625-914
17Getafe152761013-313
18Espanyol144191527-1213
19Valencia132471321-810
20Real ValladolidValladolid1523101032-229


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