La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 2
Osasuna

Duro (80')
Correia (23'), Diakhaby (27'), Duro (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oroz (24' pen.), Vidal (90+5')
Barja (35'), Munoz Cameros (62'), Budimir (90+1'), Moncayola (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Las Palmas
Friday, August 18 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Brugge
Thursday, August 24 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia are the form side and will certainly be the fresher of the two teams due to Osasuna's European commitments. Los Che still cannot be completely trusted to win games that they should, though, and we are tipping Osasuna to bounce back from successive losses to claim a welcome point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Osasuna
48.55% ( -0.05)	26.55% ( -0.07)	24.9% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 47.23% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

0.33)

56.68% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

0.26)

77.64% (

-0.26)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6% (

0.11)

23.4% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.62% (

0.17)

57.39% (

-0.17)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

0.29)

38.34% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

0.28)

75.09% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Valencia 48.54%

Osasuna 24.9%

Draw 26.54%

Valencia	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.54%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 24.9%