We said: Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and we are expecting Athletic to cause the Catalan outfit problems on Sunday night. Barcelona will again be missing a number of important players, but we are backing Xavi's side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.