La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))

Osasuna
2 - 0
Granada

Budimir (11', 59' pen.)
Pena (65'), Oroz (79'), Ibanez (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zaragoza (42'), Miquel (48'), Gumbau (54'), Ferreira (58')
Boye (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna
Saturday, October 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada are the draw specialists at the moment, sharing the points in their last three league matches, and we can see another stalemate here. Osasuna have actually only drawn once in their nine league games this term, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Granada
40.45% ( -0.21)	27.06% ( -0.33)	32.49% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 50.15% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.92% (

1.39)

55.08% (

-1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.66% (

1.13)

76.33% (

-1.13)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28% (

0.53)

26.72% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01% (

0.7)

61.99% (

-0.7)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44% (

1.09)

31.56% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.04% (

1.24)

67.96% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 40.45%

Granada 32.49%

Draw 27.06%

Osasuna	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.49%